Humanein the Loop
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06

AI should have internationally agreed-upon limits

Current path

AI development races ahead of governance. Frontier labs operate with voluntary and inconsistent safety commitments. Dangerous capabilities emerge before international agreement is possible.

Better future

AI development operates within internationally agreed limits. Safety thresholds are shared across jurisdictions. Export controls and compute governance align across allies. Dangerous capabilities are coordinated, not raced.

Drift across the three domains

Norms

Advancing21 signals
CHT recommends
  • Build international scientific consensus on AI risks (IPCC-style).
  • Foster multilateral civil society coordination on AI governance demands.
Indicators we track
  • 6.N.aInternational scientific consensus on risks
  • 6.N.bMultilateral civil society coalitions
  • 6.N.cPublic expectation of cross-border governance

Laws

Advancing29 signals
CHT recommends
  • Advance binding multilateral instruments (e.g., Council of Europe AI Convention).
  • Coordinate export controls on frontier compute and models.
  • Establish compute governance and licensing regimes.
  • Codify shared safety thresholds (bioweapon uplift, cyber offense, autonomy).
Indicators we track
  • 6.L.aMultilateral treaties and conventions
  • 6.L.bExport controls on frontier compute and models
  • 6.L.cCompute governance and licensing
  • 6.L.dSafety thresholds codified internationally

Design

Advancing26 signals
CHT recommends
  • Publish voluntary frontier-safety commitments that are specific and testable.
  • Share dangerous-capability evaluations with peers and regulators.
  • Align evaluation protocols internationally.
Indicators we track
  • 6.D.aVoluntary industry safety commitments
  • 6.D.bInformation sharing on dangerous capabilities
  • 6.D.cEvaluation protocols aligned internationally

Recent signals

MixedDesign · 6.D.aGLOBALAug 27, 2026

Previewing the Model Hardware Standard

Anthropic launched a research preview of the Model Hardware Standard (MHS), a shared specification for AI agents to safely operate physical devices, initially targeting scientific research labs and advanced manufacturers.

WhyAnthropic opens MHS research preview: spec for AI agents in physical systems; voluntary standard, no enforcement or broad adoption yet.Voluntary industry safety commitments
RegressingLaws · 6.L.bUSAug 17, 2026

Trump crypto firm backs venture offering AI from restricted Chinese companies

World Liberty Financial, a Trump-linked crypto firm, is collaborating with a Hong Kong-based venture to offer AI models from Chinese companies the US administration has flagged for national security concerns, potentially circumventing the intent of US export controls on Chinese AI.

WhyTrump-linked World Liberty Financial backs HK venture offering security-flagged Chinese AI, undermining US export control intent.Export controls on frontier compute and models
RegressingMajorNorms · 6.N.cGLOBALAug 15, 2026

OpenAI and Anthropic in price war as Chinese AI rivals gain ground

OpenAI and Anthropic have released cheaper models in response to Chinese AI rivals gaining ground, reflecting an accelerating US-China AI race driven by commercial competition rather than coordinated international governance.

WhyOpenAI/Anthropic price cuts vs Chinese rivals exemplify race dynamic dominating over cross-border coordination; techno-nationalism winning.Public expectation of cross-border governance